Friday, 14th June AMOS Annual Meeting and International Conference on Tropical Meteorology and Oceanography

• IMPACT OF SUB-GRID CLOUDS ON SOLAR IRRADIANCE PREDICTIONS - Abhnil Prasad
• Wind Generation Forecasts using Consensus Modelling - evgenia titova
• Tradeoffs between transmission costs and storage costs in facilitating both Australia and Indonesia to achieve 100% renewable electricity with an HVDC interconnection - Changlong Wang
• Analysis of extreme wind events and their impact on energy infrastructure - Roger Dargaville

• Communicating weather risk and uncertainty: a journey over the last decade at Victoria's State Control Centre - Kevin Parkyn
• Using verification to inform the automation of fire danger forecasts - Nicholas Loveday
• Automation and the changing role of the forecaster - a comparative evaluation of the skill displayed by current manually derived official forecasts with those automatically generated - Harvey Stern
• Using Evidence to Streamline Forecast Production - Michael Foley

• Preliminary Results of the ACCESS-CM2 CMIP6 Experiments - Daohua Bi
• Australia’s Earth System Model – ACCESS-ESM1.5 – submission to the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) - Tilo Ziehn
• Simulated rainfall variability over Australia: evaluation of the latest ACCESS-CM2 AMIP/C20C+ model results - David J Karoly
• A review of ACCESS simulation on ENSO: A Method for Quantifying Nonlinear Interactions Hidden in SST - Arnold Sullivan

• Climate Services across the Tropics: Science, applications and information in the Caribbean (and opportunities for collaboration across the Pacific) - ROGER S. PULWARTY
• ACCESS-S model products for managing northern Australia climate variability - Oscar Alves
• Prediction of northern Australian rainy season onset with the Australian Community Climate Earth-System Simulator-Seasonal (ACCESS-S) model - Timothy Cowan
• Climate Mates: Bridging the Gap Between Scientists and Producers - Chelsea Jarvis

• Understanding the variability of Australian fire weather between 1973 and 2017 - Chris Lucas
• A New National Fire Danger Rating System for Australia - Alex Holmes
• The PyroCb Firepower Threshold (PFT): A tool for pyrocumulonimbus prediction  - Kevin Tory
• Predicted future extreme fire conditions in Australia - Giovanni Di Virgilio
• A high-resolution gridded wind dataset for Tasmania using BARRA. - Paul Fox-Hughes
•   Deterministic forecasting of lightning activity using convection permitting NWP models - Rashmi Mittal

 Co-chaired by: Dr Stephanie Downes, Dr Angela Maharaj and Dr Veronica Tamsitt

• An overview of AMOS Education and Outreach activities - Stephanie Downes
• Science outreach using Social Media: polar science from the lab to the public… - Amelie Meyer
• Twitter and Weather. Dynamical precursors of flooding in Indonesia assessed using satellite observations and Twitter activity. - Dariusz B Baranowski
• Observations from a high-density network in Bendigo using low-cost sensors - Blair Trewin
• Including Paris target scenarios in climate projections for Australian stakeholders. - Michael Grose

• Greenhouse gases, anthropogenic aerosols and the uptake and storage of excess heat in the climate system - Damien Irving
• On the difference between transient and quasi-equilibrium warmer worlds - Andrew D King
• Diabatic Contributions to Warm Water Volume Variability over ENSO Events - Maurice Huguenin-Virchaux
• Suppressed predictability of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation under greenhouse warming - Shujun LI
• Analysis of CMIP6 atmospheric moisture fluxes and the implications for projections of future change in Australian rainfall - Ian Watterson
• Goldilocks and global warming: climate change effects on the weather envelope for conducting prescribed burning - Hamish Clarke

• Australia-Asian monsoon in two UK Met Office Unified Models and their impacts on Tropical-Extratropical Teleconnections - Aurel Moise
• Southern Hemisphere monsoon dynamics and changes in mid-Holocene and future global warming scenario - Josephine Brown
• Progress on atmospheric river analysis in the Asian-Australian region - Aurel Moise

• Tropical lows over Australia - Hongyan Zhu
• Use of Ensembles in Tropical Cyclone Forecasting - Ian Shepherd
• Advancing the State of the Art in Tropical Cyclone Modeling at NOAA's National Weather Service National Center for Environmental Prediction (NWS/NCEP) - AVICHAL MEHRA
• Enhanced surface fluxes on the intensification of TC Kelvin after landfall - Clair Stark
• Tropical cyclogenesis at and near the Equator - Gerard Kilroy
• Forecasting challenges of small, short-lived tropical cyclones and consequences for the historical TC count - Joe Courtney

• The end-to-end convective hazard risk forecast process developed by the Australian Extreme Weather Desk for the South Australian 28 September 2016 tornado outbreak - Dean Sgarbossa
• USE OF CONVECTION-ALLOWING MODEL ENSEMBLES IN FORECASTING SEVERE CONVECTIVE HAZARDS - Harald Richter
• A case study of South Australia’s severe thunderstorm and tornado outbreak (28 September 2016) - Kevin Tory
• Kurnell Storm (2015) simulations with the latest high resolution ACCESS models - Hongyan Zhu

Co-chaired by: Dr Stephanie Downes, Dr Angela Maharaj and Dr Veronica Tamsitt

• “Depth Study” resources from UNSW for Highschool Senior Science - Angela M Maharaj
• When citizen science meets urban climate: The Sydney Schools Weather and Air Quality (SWAQ) monitoring network   - Melissa Hart
• The Role of CSIRO’s Marine National Facility in Training Australia’s Future Marine Experts  - Benjamin Arthur
• International Forum of Meteorological Societies – new opportunities for regional cooperation and collaboration amongst meteorological and related professional societies - Michael Coughlan

• Modelled influence of the South Pacific on Tropical Pacific variablity - Christine Chung
• A framework to determine the limits of achievable skill for interannual to decadal climate predictions - Yiling Liu
• Analysis of ENSO properties in ACCESS-CM2 simulations - Harun Rashid
• What does the new 28-year regional reanalysis for Australia (BARRA) have to offer? - Doerte Jakob

• A three-dimensional perspective on East Coast Lows - Acacia S Pepler
• How to make a dust storm: In situ observations at White Sands, New Mexico - Andrew Gunn
• Mapping of the Changes in African Storm Centres, in Terms of Climatology With Using Decomposition Method of the Schumann Resonance. - Karol Martyński
• Progress towards development of a probabilistic, quantitative volcanic ash forecast model - Chris Lucas

• Downstream propagation and remote dissipation of internal waves in the Southern Ocean - Maxim Nikurashin
• Gravity wave generation near upper jets, ‘striated deltas’ and extratropical cyclones - Adam L Morgan
• Dissipation controls generation: a new perspective on the ocean's low-mode internal tide - Callum Shakespeare
• Atmospheric extremes in the Northern Hemisphere due teleconnection patterns between the Arctic and midlatitudes - Irina Rudeva

• Improved climate prediction services for Australia - Robyn Duell
• Calibration of ACCESS-S forecasts on a daily timescale - Morwenna Griffiths
• Seasonal hydrological forecasts using ACCESS-S - Elisabeth Vogel

• Processes and predictability in the East Asian summer monsoon - Sean F Milton
• Influence of the interaction between dry air intrusion and moist low-level flow on the non-steady progression of the 2016 summer monsoon in NW India - Ambrogio Volonté
• The role of western disturbances in India's present and future climate - Kieran M R Hunt
• The Changing Character of the North American Monsoon - Andreas F Prein